President Elect 2008 Electoral College Projection (10/3/2008)

President Elect's analysis of the 2008 Electoral College vote, pitting Republican Senator John McCain against Democratic Senator Barack Obama, shows that if the election were today the United States would be electing its first black President.

President Elect projects that Senator Obama will win 273 electoral votes and Senator McCain will win 265.

While the numbers may seem the same as the last analysis, the circumstances are much different. In that map things were trending towards the Republicans. That has been reversed in the current map. While no state switched sides there were several that changed shades, all but one in the Democrats' favor. Worse for the GOP is that other states leaning towards them -- Florida, Nevada, Ohio, and Virginia -- are right on the tipping point and could easily be a shade of blue next week. Losing any one of them would mean an almost certain loss for McCain.

That, and the fact that several more leaning states may soon turn solid for Obama, is all great news for the Democrats. But they need to be careful. Yes, things are looking good but it is still technically a one state race. If the Republicans can hold what they have they would just need to pick off any one state leaning Obama's way to win.